Reckon
Record predictions and outcomes, then calibrate confidence with a reliability chart
About Reckon
Reckon is a decision log and calibration tool for iPhone and iPad. Record predictions, reasoning, and confidence levels before the outcome is known, run brief checks as circumstances change, then enter the actual outcome and satisfaction. It preserves the original judgment, reduces hindsight rewriting, and uses a reliability chart to compare subjective confidence with actual hit rates, helping reveal overconfidence or underconfidence.
Best for
Best use cases
When making an uncertain judgment
When circumstances change and need checking
When reviewing after the outcome is known
After dozens of entries, when analyzing calibration
Features
Record predictions
Record predictions, reasoning, and confidence levels before the outcome is known.
Ongoing checks
Run a roughly 30-second check as circumstances change, keeping confidence changes in the record.
Review outcomes
Enter the actual outcome and satisfaction afterward, while keeping the original prediction for review.
Reliability analysis
Compare prediction confidence with actual results in a reliability chart to identify overconfidence or underconfidence.
Pros
- Keeps original predictions to reduce hindsight rewriting
- Uses a reliability chart to show overconfidence or underconfidence
- No account needed; data stays on the device and syncs through your own iCloud
Cons
- Currently for iPhone and iPad
- The reliability chart needs dozens of entries to have enough data
Pricing Plans
One-time purchase
- No subscription
- iCloud sync included
* Pricing information is for reference only. Please refer to the latest announcement on Reckon's official website.